David Snowball's
New-Fund Page for November, 2009


[Open for business | Coming attractions | Stars in the shadows]


Dear friends,

I hope there’s nothing ill-omened about a column finished on the 80th anniversary of the "Black Monday" and "Black Tuesday" stock market crash, posted on Halloween, and read – by most folks – on The Day of the Dead. Five of the last six days of the month saw swings (mostly downward) in the Dow of more than 100 points and market-timing newsletters are unrelievedly negative, which, of course, is positive. Except when it isn’t.

Spaced Out Snowball

From 1973 to 1987, Russell Baker wrote "Sunday Observer" for the New York Times Magazine. Baker, now retired, wrote with a wry wit ("Misery no longer loves company. Nowadays it insists on it") that helped his jabs hurt a bit less ("Usually, terrible things that are done with the excuse that progress requires them are not really progress at all, but just terrible things.") By happy coincidence, he and I agreed on what his best column was. It’s entitled, "Spaced Out" and was first pushed in May of 1975.

I am sitting here 93 million miles from the sun

on a rounded rock which is spinning at the rate of 1,000 miles an hour,

and roaring through space to nobody-knows-where,

to keep a rendezvous with nobody-knows-what,

for nobody-knows-why,

... while off to the north of me the polar icecap may,

or may not,

be getting ready to send down oceanic mountains of ice

that will bury everything from Bangor to Richmond

in a ponderous white death,

and there, off to the east,

the ocean is tearing away at the land and wrenching it into the sea bottom and coming back for more,

as if the ocean is determined to claim it all before the deadly swarms of killer bees,

... can get there to take possession,

although it seems more likely that the protective ozone layer in the upper atmosphere may collapse first,

exposing us all, ocean, killer bees and me, too,

to the merciless spraying of deadly cosmic rays.

I am sitting here on this spinning, speeding rock

surrounded by four billion people, eight planets, one awesome lot of galaxies,

hydrogen bombs enough to kill me 30 times over,

and mountains of handguns and frozen food,

and I am being swept along in the whole galaxy's insane dash toward the far wall of the universe,

across distances longer to traverse than Sunday afternoon on the New Jersey Turnpike,

so long, in fact, that when we get there I shall be at least 800,000 years old,

provided, of course, that the whole galaxy doesn't run into another speeding galaxy at some poorly marked universal intersection and turn us all into space garbage,

or that the sun doesn't burn out in the meantime,

or that some highly intelligent ferns from deepest space do not land from flying fern pots and cage me up in a greenhouse for scientific study.

So, as I say, I am sitting here

with the continents moving,

and killer bees coming,

and the ocean eating away,

and the icecap poised,

and the galaxy racing across the universe,

and the thermonuclear 30-times-over bombs stacked up around me,

and only the gravity holding me onto the rock,

... and as I sit here, 93 million miles from the sun,

I am feeling absolutely miserable,

and realize, with self-pity and despair,

that I am getting a cold.

And I, dear readers, have gotten the flu. Or something sufficiently flu-like that the distinctions between it and the real flu are merely semantic. And so, for now, my column will, like me, be a mere shadow of its normal self.

Mairs & Power Balanced: The Best Balanced Fund that You Have Heard About

Morningstar continued its series on funds and fund families that "you’ve never heard about" with a profile of Mairs & Power Balanced (MAPOX). William Samuel Rocco’s entirely sensible profile ran October 27.

True. As along as you haven’t read FundAlarm’s profile (over three years ago) or any of the dozen or so subsequent references in the Annex or Roy’s Honor Roll of No-Alarm funds, or the dozens of recs on the Board. Sigh.

True or not? "There is no such thing as bad publicity"

The fund industry might be in the midst of testing Brendan Behan’s, the late Irish playwright, aphorism. Two branches of the federal government are investigating highly profitable industry practices this month, while the third branch has been weighing cheerfully in.

The U.S. Supreme Court is slated to here arguments on November 2nd in the case of Jones v. Harris Associates. At issue is whether funds are violating the law when they charge one management fee when they’re investing money for institutional investors and another, much higher fee when they’re managing money for the likes of us. At question are the management fees; that is, the money paid for the privilege – in the immediate case – of Bill Nygren’s services. Harris charged about 0.4% (plus the cost of actually administering the fund) to fancy folks but 0.8% (plus the cost of actually administering the fund) to the hoi polloi. The fund industry’s arguments have been understandably self-serving (you and I wouldn’t want lower fees because it would lead the most talented folks to give up mutual fund management). The majority in the Court of Appeals, as I noted in an earlier column, defended their conclusion with arguments that mostly revealed the utter cluelessness of the judges. On whole, I’d rather have the Yoknapatawpha County Board adjudicating the issues.

At the same time, the U.S. Congress has been holding hearings on target-date funds and the proposed Investor Protection Act of 2009. Well-intentioned people got the law rewritten in 2006 to make target-date funds the default option in many retirement plans; that is, if your employer is contributing something to your retirement and you don’t specify where you’d like the money to go, by default it’s placed in a target-date fund. The old default option was a money-market account whose disastrously low returns made them inappropriate for the task. Now Congress is investing abusive marketing and pricing practices in those funds. Since target-date funds are generally funds-of-funds, they offer the possibility of egregiously high expenses (see Jones v Harris!) when a company charges 1% or more in expenses on top of the expenses levied by its own underlying funds. In addition, such funds are exempted from the fiduciary requirements imposed by the 1974 Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA). Advocates for regulations argue that the funds’ "privileged position" as a default option requires that they operate under particularly close scrutiny.

The fund industry, through its Investment Company Institute, issued the usual: "important innovation," "used effectively," "no incentive to use poorly performing proprietary funds" (right, just as Merrill Lynch’s brokers have no incentive to push Merrill’s funds in preference to low-cost, no-load competitors), "fully disclosed and transparent," "investment decisions should be left to the professionals." A host of bright witnesses – including Morningstar’s John Rekenthaler and former Vanguard CEO Jack Bogle – were noticeably less supportive of the industry’s "don’t worry, be happy" approach.

Had I mentioned that Behan’s original aphorism was a bit longer than we normally remember? Not "There’s no such thing as bad publicity," but rather "there’s no such thing as bad publicity, except your own obituary."

Briefly noted:

Invesco has entered into an agreement to purchase Morgan Stanley's retail asset management business, including Van Kampen Investments and the Van Kampen mutual funds. And just so that things can become as complicated as possible, some mutual fund management teams will remain with Morgan Stanley, even after the sale is complete (probably in mid-2010). Those funds managed by teams that remain with Morgan Stanley will almost certainly see a management change, as Invesco replaces those managers with its own (hint: it has to do with who profits from the management fee). Van Kampen has published a list of fund management teams that are "remaining with Morgan Stanley." If you own a Morgan Stanley or Van Kampen fund, you might want to check out this road map to future turnover, so you can start planning now.

In a cheery development, the Board of the Frontegra funds voted to ditch the sub-advisor who managed Frontegra New Star International and to hire a new crew, Masthold Asset Management. The fund has been renamed Frontegra Mastholm International Equity Fund.

Harbor continues to delay launch of their go-anywhere Special Opportunities fund.

Wishing you all good health,

David




Open for business: These funds have already begun accepting investments.


NEW Discussed this month:
David is out on sick leave this month.



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Coming Attractions: These are funds that have filed a prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission, but won't be available for purchase for a while. We'll keep an eye on these funds, and discuss the more interesting of them at length as their opening date draws nearer.

AQR Managed Futures Strategy Fund will invest primarily in a portfolio of futures contracts and futures-related instruments. The Fund’s universe of investments currently includes more than 50 exchange-traded futures and forward contracts across four major asset classes (commodities, currencies, fixed income and equities). The Fund is actively managed, and takes both long and short positions. It’s a worthwhile area to consider and you might want to read FundAlarm’s analysis of the first managed futures fund, Rydex Managed Futures Strategy. The fund will be managed by a team led by AQR’s founder, Clifford S. Asness, Ph.D. The expense ratio will be 1.25%. This is, for now, available only to institutional investors.

Aston/Fasciano Small Cap Fund will launch by year’s end. The fund is a descendant of the Fasciano Fund, an excellent small blend fund from the 1990s and Neuberger Berman Fasciano, a pretty shaky small blend fund from the 2000s. After being terminated by Neuberger, Mr. Fasciano filed plans to launch FascianoFunds Small Cap, which seems to have morphed now into a sub-advised offering through the Aston group. Fair enough. Mr. Fasciano is both experienced and disciplined. He’ll invest in small cap (under $2.5 billion market cap) foreign and domestic stocks, and maybe into some REITs and convertibles. The minimum investment for regular accounts is $2,500, while IRAs, UTMAs and ESAs have a $500 minimum. Fund expenses will be 1.42% after reimbursements.

Direxion Commodity Trends Strategy Fund will match the daily investment returns of the Standard and Poor’s® Commodity Trends Indicator. That means they hold long positions in commodities with positive momentum while shorting commodities with negative momentum. The prospectus offers a bizarre, almost cultish announcement concerning management: "Rafferty provides investment services to the Funds. Rafferty attempts to manage the investment of the Funds’ assets consistent with their investment objectives, policies and limitations. Rafferty has been managing mutual funds since June 1997." Hmmm. Expenses of 2.01% plus a redemption fee of 1% on shares held under 90 days. Minimum initial investment is $2500, reduced to $1000 for IRAs.

Direxion Financial Trends Strategy Fund seeks investment results comparable to the performance of the Standard and Poor’s Financial Trends Indicator The fund will use derivatives to gain long and short exposure to the Euro, Yen, Pound, Swiss Franc, Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar and U.S. Treasury Notes. The prospectus offers a bizarre, almost cultish announcement concerning management: "Rafferty provides investment services to the Funds. Rafferty attempts to manage the investment of the Funds’ assets consistent with their investment objectives, policies and limitations. Rafferty has been managing mutual funds since June 1997." Hmmm. Expenses will be 1.90% plus a redemption fee of 1% on shares held under 90 days. Minimum initial investment is $2500, reduced to $1000 for IRAs.

Direxion/Wilshire Dynamic Fund is a balanced fund which combines a strategic asset allocation with a "tactical overlay" to position the Dynamic Fund defensively or aggressively, based on the adviser’s judgment of market direction. It will be non-diversified and can both short securities and borrow money to leverage its investments. The fund is sub-advised by Wilshire Associates through its Wilshire Funds Management subsidiary. Expenses will be 1.55% plus a redemption fee of 1% on shares held under 90 days. Minimum initial investment is $2500, reduced to $1000 for IRAs.

ETF Global Opportunity Fund will invest globally, using ETFs. At least 40% will be non-US, including potentially significant exposure to emerging markets. It’s non-diversified and has the right to move to cash. Global Opportunity’s sibling fund, ETF Market Opportunity (ETFOX), is a four-star fund which applies the same momentum-based strategy to mostly domestic ETFs. By skill or chance, ETFOX landed in the top 1% of large growth funds in 2008. The fund will be managed by Paul Michael Frank, president of the adviser and ETFOX’s manager. $5000 minimum for regular accounts, $1000 for others. Expenses aren’t completely disclosed, but appear to be well north of 2%.

Baron Real Estate Fund will be a non-diversified fund that invests for the long term primarily in equity and debt securities of U.S. and non-U.S. real estate and real estate-related companies of any size, or in companies which own significant real estate assets (companies which own or manage toll roads, bridges, tunnels, parking facilities, railroads, airports, broadcast and wireless towers, electric transmission and distribution lines, power generation facilities, hospitals and correctional facilities). Baron investors tend to be GARP-y. Jeffrey A. Kolitch is the portfolio manager of Baron Real Estate Fund. He joined the Firm in 2005 to develop a real estate growth strategy. From 1995 until 2005, Mr. Kolitch worked at Goldman Sachs & Co. Expenses are TBA. $2000 minimum.

Causeway International Opportunities Fund will be a fund of two funds: Causeway International Value and Causeway Emerging Markets. The allocation between the two will be determined by a quantitative process which considers valuation, earnings growth, financial strength, and macroeconomic conditions. The fund will be managed by a large team headed by Sarah H. Ketterer, the firm’s founder and CEO. The expenses aren’t clear in the current portfolio; it may be that the fund levels no expense above and beyond those charged by the underlying funds. $5,000 minimum initial investment, $4,000 for IRAs.

Fairholme Focused Income Fund will seek current income, other forms of cash distributions and capital preservation by investing in a focused portfolio of cash distributing securities. To maintain maximum flexibility, the securities in which the Fund may invest include, but are not limited to, corporate debt securities of issuers in the U.S. and foreign countries, government and agency debt securities of the U.S. and foreign countries, bank loans and loan participations, convertible bonds and other convertible securities and preferred stocks. Bruce Berkowitz is the lead manager. There’s a $25,000 minimum initial investment and expenses of 0.50%.

(Kinetics) Paradigm Absolute Return Fund is a non-diversified fund that seeks to earn a positive total return with reduced market risk. The Fund generally will invest approximately 80% of its investable assets in the Paradigm Portfolio, under normal market conditions, while also hedging market risk with futures, options and short sales of exchange-traded funds ("ETFs"). The Paradigm Portfolio invests primarily in the equity securities of U.S. and foreign companies that the Investment Adviser believes are undervalued, that have high returns on equity and that are well positioned to reduce their costs, extend the reach of their distribution channels and experience significant growth in assets or revenues. A fundamental principle is to regard the investments in the Paradigm Portfolio as representing fractional ownership in the underlying companies’ assets. The driver of appreciation for the classic value investor is a high return on equity, an intrinsic characteristic of the investment, not a reappraisal of the stock’s worth by the market, an external factor. Christopher J. Guptill, the manager, is CEO and CIO Broadmark Asset Management, which will subadvise the fund. $2500 initial investment minimum. Expenses will be 2.29%.

Mariner 130/30 Fund will try to make money by establishing long and short positions in equity securities of mid- to large-cap domestic and foreign companies. In general, such funds have not heaped glory upon themselves. The fund will be managed by David J. Abitz, CFA, Chief Investment Officer, Partner and Director of Mariner Quantitative Solutions, the adviser. He previously managed Marshall Equity Income Fund, Tax Efficient Portfolios, M&I High Dividend Income Portfolios and the M&I Long/Short Fund. $2500 investment minimum. Expenses will be 1.72%.

PIMCO 20+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Fund (ZROZ) will try to replicate the returns of the BofA Merrill Lynch Long US Treasury Principal STRIPS Index. Expenses of 0.15%.

RP Short Duration ETF pursues "current income with potential capital appreciation consistent with the preservation of capital." It will be an actively-managed ETF investing, mostly, in investment grade, short-term bonds. It will be managed by too many people: Morty Schaja and Mitchell Rubin, two former Baron Asset managers, are the "primary sub-advisers" to the fund. Their job is to oversee the day-to-day transactions of the secondary sub-advisers, Cohanzick Management. David K. Sherman, president of the sub-adviser and a former Leucadia National officer, will actually run the fund. Expenses not yet set.

TCW Emerging Markets Equities Fund will launch in December. For its purposes, emerging markets are those so listed by the World Bank, plus Bahrain, Brunei, Cyprus, Greece, Hong Kong, Israel, Kuwait, Macau, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Slovenia, South Korea, Taiwan and the United Arab Emirates. Nothing special by way of investment strategies. It will be managed by Mark Hadden (formerly the lead manager of Oppenheimer Developing Markets Fund) and David Robbins. The minimum initial investment will be $2000 for regular accounts and $500 for IRAs. The expense ratio has not yet been announced.


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Stars in the shadows (funds that perhaps you should have noticed, but haven't): These are mostly tiny funds, already open (some for quite a while), whose achievements far outstrip their public presence. Why? In many cases, these will be funds offered by institutional money managers as a sideline. They're often created to benefit their clients' (or their own) employees. Such fund managers have no incentive to solicit huge inflows, tend not to charge marketing fees, and often absorb much of the cost of running these little funds into their own overhead. As a result, stars-in-the-shadows funds often offer average investors affordable access to the services of high-powered institutional or other private account managers. While these funds aren't guaranteed winners, their unique role in their sponsoring firms gives them a leg up.


NEW Discussed this month:
David is out on sick leave this month.


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