| Highlights and Commentary |
| By Roy Weitz |

We start the month off right, with an item about death and mutual funds: Let's say that you own mutual fund shares (a good guess, if you're reading this), and you want to pass your shares to a favorite relative at your death.....In the past, you generally could leave the shares in your will, transfer the shares to a living trust and have the trust distribute them at your death, or you could make your relative a joint tenant with rights of survivorship (JTWROS).....All of these methods still work, but there's also a relatively new method that many fund shareholders still haven't heard about: It's called "transfer on death" (TOD) registration.....With TOD, you generally just fill out a form and designate one or more persons you wish to inherit your fund shares.....Unlike JTWROS, you aren't required to make your beneficiary a co-owner during your life and, unlike wills and trusts, the TOD form can be completed by any non-lawyer and changed as often as you like.....As a bonus (or, for some, the main attraction), fund shares passing via TOD also avoid state probate procedures (although TOD shares are still included in the value of your estate for tax purposes).....So far, all states except Louisiana and Texas have recognized TOD registration.....While TOD can be a useful tool, especially in a smaller estate, it can also create huge and unexpected problems (for example, you execute a TOD form in the name of one child, assuming -- erroneously -- that the child will split your fund shares with her siblings).....If you're dealing with relatively large mutual fund accounts, or if you don't understand all the consequences of TOD registration, it's still best to consult with a lawyer or qualified financial advisor.
As of February 2005, the mutual fund market-timing scandal was 17 months old.....About 20 fund companies had already been hauled before regulators, and FundAlarm was still waiting for additional fund firms to confess their market-timing transgressions.....As we noted back in February:
| "...a surprisingly simple pair of calculations can spotlight funds that have been preyed upon by market timers: All we need to do is compute the ratio of a fund's redemptions to net assets, along with its ratio of redemptions to sales.....If a fund's annual redemptions divided by average net assets (R/ANA, expressed as a percentage) is greater than 200%, and redemptions divided by sales (R/S) is greater than 95%, there's an excellent chance that the fund has been churned by market timers." |
Fidelity has hired former Beatle Paul McCartney as a corporate pitchman.....McCartney, once known for his counter-culture hijinks, now appears to be sufficiently neutered to work for a financial services company.....According to a Fidelity marketer, "McCartney is innovative, authentic and a respected leader in his field. We see Fidelity as being the same in our field and we think this is definitely good for both parties".....The ad below (left) is the first fruit of the Fidelity-McCartney partnership.....FundAlarm's generally unreliable spies tell us that the ad on the right was in serious contention until the end, but several focus groups complained that "it gave them the munchies."
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SunAmerica Focused Mid-Cap Value is about two months old, and the directors of this fund have signed off on a 1.72% expense ratio, which breaks down as follows:
| Management fee | 0.85% |
| 12b-1 fee | 0.35% |
| Other expense | 0.52% |
| Total expenses | 1.72% |
| "The Directors considered the relative advantages and disadvantages of an advisory fee with breakpoints versus a flat advisory fee that includes advisory fee waivers and expense reimbursements and concluded that the existing arrangement of a flat fee was advantageous to shareholders and suitable for the Portfolios given the size and structure of the Portfolios." [italics and underlines added by FundAlarm] |
Robert Stansky has managed Fidelity Magellan for almost ten years, and during that time we're guessing that Stansky has been paid between $50 million and $100 million for his efforts (maybe more, certainly not less).....So, is it fair to expect that Stansky have a significant personal investment in his own fund?.....According to SEC filings, Stansky has somewhere between $500,000 and $1 million invested in Magellan, which isn't even the highest SEC ownership category (that would be "$1 million and over")*.....Folks inclined to go easy on Stansky, including "Jamma Mamma" on the FundAlarm Discussion Board, point out that we typically don't know anything about a manager's personal financial situation and, "for all we know, Stansky may be supporting 15 kids, elderly parents and a few ex-wives".....Ms. Mamma also points out that we don't know anything about Stansky's debts or asset allocation strategy.....Here at FundAlarm, we readily acknowledge that we know nothing about Mr. Stansky's personal life.....But let's assume that he has, indeed, lived a wild and fruitful life, and we'll even assume that he's supporting an ex-wife's parent or two, in addition to his own.....It's still inconceivable that Stansky hasn't accumulated at least a million dollars in liquid assets.....And it's inexcusable that Stansky hasn't invested that million dollars in his own fund, before investing in anything else.
![]() | ![]() | Move over, Fat Bastard. Fat Bastard is gaining on you: Fidelity's bloated Magellan fund is the firm's largest, at about $54 billion in assets, but it's about the be overtaken by Fidelity Contrafund.....Only about $500 million in assets separated the two as of August 31 and, even as you read this, Contrafund may already have passed Magellan*.....Performance-wise, Magellan's manager, Robert Stansky, has been clobbered by Contrafund manager Will Danoff for all of 2005.....In fact, Danoff has trounced Stansky for the past five years.....Besides losing bragging rights, being eclipsed by Danoff isn't good news for Stansky.....If Danoff continues to post good numbers with his own behemoth fund, then Danoff's success will highlight Stansky's failure at Magellan....If Danoff also is dragged down, that will be more evidence that a $50+ billion fund is too large for any individual to run successfully -- something we, and many others, have been saying for years. | ||
| * "Contrafund closing in on Magellan," Kathie O'Donnell, MarketWatch.com, September 2, 2005 | ||||
We have it on good authority that Vanguard isn't interested in a licensing agreement: The Rapture Index, at RaptureReady.com, is designed to factor 45 different end-time predictors into a "cohesive" end-times indicator.....The Index is also designed to standardize the various index categories (such as Tribulation Temple, Gog, Mark of the Beast, Liberalism), in an effort to "eliminate the wide variance that currently exists with prophecy reporting".....As of September 19, the Rapture Index was at 161, which is deep into the "Fasten your seat belts" category (i.e., the highest level of prophetic activity).....Fortunately, for those of us who still have laundry to pick up, the index is short of its all-time high of 182, reached on September 24, 2001.
I received my first market-timing signal on September 21 from Intelli-Timer.....The signal came, as promised, in an evening e-mail, and here's what it looked like:

| Month | Date of signal | Type of signal | Security bought (2) | Acct value (beginning) | Acct value (ending) (3), (4) | Change in acct value for month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept, 2005 | Sept 21 | Short | SOPIX | $5,017.00 | $5,001.63 | -0.31% |
| Notes: (1) Signal was executed (i.e., mutual fund trade date) was the next business day. (2) SOPIX=ProFunds Short OTC Inv. (3) Cut-off for valuation is 26th day of the month. (4) Account value includes value of fund shares only. We're ignoring a few cents interest on the uninvested cash that sat in the account at its inception. | ||||||
| FundAlarm benchmark | % Return |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Small Cap Index (NAESX) | 1.26% |
| Schwab International Index Inv (SWINX) | 1.22% |
| Dreyfus Mid Cap Index (PESPX) | 0.94% |
| Roy's market-timing account | -0.31% |
| Vanguard 500 Index (VFINX) | -0.39% |
| Vanguard Balanced Index (VBINX) | -0.71% |
AIM Investments is sending a sticker to brokers and financial planners that's meant to be pasted onto a jar of ready-made spaghetti sauce.....The sticker is part of a new campaign that's designed to promote AIM's asset allocation mutual funds.....AIM likens its asset allocation funds to ready-made sauce that's been prepared by professionals, and AIM hopes that individuals will choose its asset allocation funds over self-constructed portfolios.....The AIM promotion also notes that spaghetti sauce can be difficult to make from scratch, and the results are often unpredictable.
Briefly noted:
![]() New Vice Fund manager Michael Henry gets ready to analyze a stock |
| Main reason your management fee was set too low, so that now you can't make a profit | Appropriate fee increase |
|---|---|
| - Incompetence - Clumsy attempt to "bait and switch" investors - Grandiose plans for marketing the fund never worked out | 25% to 50% |
| - Gross incompetence - Cynical attempt to "bait and switch" investors - Hallucinatory plans for marketing the fund never worked out | 50% to 100% |
| - In the wrong business - Investors viewed as pawns to be manipulated - Don't really know what happened, because nobody on staff can figure it out | 100%+ |
| "To the extent that increased costs of regulation disproportionately affect small funds, regulatory costs are affecting current liquidations and mergers. Nevertheless, the number of funds liquidated and merged has not increased appreciably."* |
| "We think exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will be one of the big investment stories of the new decade..." |
| --- FundAlarm Highlights and Commentary, January 2000
|
| ---Satchel Paige, legendary pitcher |
| Over the most recent five-year period, which of the following fund categories had the highest annualized return: | |
| (a) China-region funds (b) Balanced funds (c) General municipal bond funds (d) Large-cap value funds |
