Highlights and Commentary
By Roy Weitz
(Originally posted April 1, 2002)
[Archive Table of Contents]

How low can you go? Even if you don't follow mutual funds closely, you probably know that the Japanese stock market has been a basket case for at least 10 years, and mutual funds that invest in Japanese stocks have suffered along with the Japanese market.....What may surprise you, however, is that 68 funds in this month's FundAlarm database have actually performed worse than the average Japan mutual fund over the past three and five years.....A number of international funds are included in this "how-low-can-you-go" group, but the group also contains funds from every benchmark category other than balanced.....You probably won't be surprised to learn that the vast majority of these funds are 3-ALARM, and many of them make a regular appearance on our list of "Most Alarming 3-ALARM Funds."


And you thought Japan funds were bad? See the accompanying page for funds that have performed worse than the average Japan fund over the past three and five years


Every audit of a mutual fund culminates in an auditors' report, and you could read a hundred audit reports without finding five words that were different.....In other words, the auditors' report is typically a boilerplate blessing of a mutual fund's financial statements, and nobody pays much attention unless the report contains something unusual.....Well, people are definitely paying attention to the 2001 audit report of the Van Wagoner funds, which was recently issued by the Ernst & Young accounting firm.....Actually, it's a document that was issued in conjunction with the Ernst & Young audit report -- an internal control letter -- which has raised so many eyebrows.....Ordinarily, an auditor's internal control (IC) letter is as boring as an auditors' report, but the Van Wagoner IC letter contains some pretty hot stuff.....Basically, Ernst & Young found that the Van Wagoner funds suffered at least two serious breakdowns in its internal accounting and administrative controls during 2001: (1) The Board of Directors didn't properly document the valuation (i.e., pricing) of the funds' private placement investments, and (2) The funds violated their own non-fundamental investment restriction when they allowed private placement securities to exceed 15% of fund net asset values.....(Private placement securities, which do not have published market values, are typically available only to sophisticated investors).....Both of these problems were compounded by the fact that the Van Wagoner "Board of Directors" was made up of only two people: Garrett Van Wagoner himself, and one outside director.....A third director resigned in July 2000, but Van Wagoner didn't bother replacing him until February 2002,* and then almost certainly because Ernst & Young was breathing down his neck.....The Ernst & Young findings don't mean that Van Wagoner is a crook.....But the IC letter does show that Van Wagoner is a sloppy and undisciplined administrator, and it's reasonable to assume that these traits also carry over to the investment side......Several months ago, we referred to the Van Wagoner funds as a "cowboy" operation, and at least one reader took strong exception to our choice of words.....Dear Reader: This is exactly what we meant.....Van Wagoner appears to lack the resources and temperament needed to run a public mutual fund.....Caveat investor.
* Van Wagoner's Valuation Policy Is Criticized by Firm's Auditors," Tom Lauricella, The Wall Street Journal, March 4, 2002


The release of the Ernst & Young internal control letter, above, comes on the heels of several lawsuits alleging that the Van Wagoner funds failed to properly review and mark down the value of their private placement securities, thereby overstating the net asset value of those funds and overcharging new investors.....Will the Ernst & Young letter be used as evidence against Van Wagoner in these lawsuits?.....A Van Wagoner representative claimed that the internal control letter was no big deal, while several plaintiff's lawyers were too excited to say anything at all.


And speaking of private placements: In anticipation of the next bull market for technology stocks, the Amerindo funds have decided to add private placement securities to their investment portfolios.....Investors had little reaction to the move, but class-action lawyers gave the decision a big thumbs-up.


Here are the "search" instructions from the John Hancock Web site. Can you guess how long it's been since someone last revised them?



Morningstar has announced a new rating service for private-account money managers, and that could be good news for mutual fund investors..... Why should fund investors care?.....Mutual fund managers often come from the world of private accounts, and currently there's no easy and reliable way for investors to evaluate a money manager's private-account track record.....Experienced private-account managers, just starting out in the mutual fund world, are often overlooked or avoided.....But in many cases, these are exactly the kind of managers that mutual fund investors should be looking for.... If Morningstar is successful with its new private account ratings, fund investors should have a much easier time spotting fresh talent, and that's good news for anyone who likes to make money.


In case you think this talk about private money managers, above, is purely theoretical, here's a real-life example.....A couple of months ago, the Berger funds acquired a small San Francisco money management firm run by Bill Schaff, and Schaff's firm was almost immediately named as subadvisor for the new Berger Large Cap Value fund.....Roy happens to be familiar with Schaff's excellent record as a private large-cap money manager, so Berger's new fund immediately caught Roy's eye......Mutual fund columnist Tim Middleton, who doesn't know Schaff up-close, recently advised his readers to avoid Schaff until he proves himself*.....We think this is bad advice, but we understand exactly how it happened: Middleton has no information about Schaff's private record, while we do.....If Morningstar's private-account rating service were already up and running, Middleton would have had access to the same information that we do, and he probably would have called this one correctly.....In the meantime, we plan to watch Schaff's new fund very closely.....If you're looking for a good large-cap value fund, you might want to do the same.
* "Let fund managers learn on someone else's dime," moneycentral.msn.com, March 6, 2002


Imagine how smug he'd look if his funds didn't suck:

Malcolm R. Fobes III,
as he appears on
the Berkshire Funds Web site
Malcolm Fobes is the manager of Berkshire Focus and Berkshire Technology.....For the 12 months ended February 28, 2002, these funds lost 58.82% and 58.50%, respectively.....Only ten funds in the U.S. performed worse over the same period of time.


The perils of chasing hot funds (installment #97 in a continuing series): Nicholas Applegate Global Technology was the hottest fund in the U.S. during the overheated year of 1999, returning 493.7%.....During that same year, value funds generally didn't perform well, and Sequoia was the worst-performing value fund of all, returning -16.5% for the year.....On January 1, 2000, let's assume that a frustrated investor moved $100,000 from stone-cold Sequoia to red-hot Nicholas Applegate Global Technology.....Twenty-six months later, on February 28, 2002, that $100,000 would have shrunk to $28,300.....If our hypothetical investor had simply left the money with Sequoia, that $100,000 would have grown to $130,200.....You might want to think about this difference in value -- almost $102,000 -- next time you're tempted to chase a hot fund.


Seligman Growth A (SGRFX) celebrates its 65th birthday this month, but it's far from being the oldest mutual fund in the U.S......In fact, thirty-four stock and balanced funds are older, including the granddaddy of them all, MFS Massachusetts Investors Trust A (MITTX), which will turn 78 in July.....Since Roy has already received an invitation to join AARP, he is no longer allowed to make Metamucil and Viagra jokes.....But the question remains: How well are these senior citizen funds performing? Does age truly beget experience, or is it time for these funds to hang up their ticker symbols?.....Here's the entire list:

Funds are sorted alphabetically; funds in green
have outperformed the Vanguard 500 Index over the past 15 years
Geezer FundInception
15-Yr.
Return
(% annlzd)
Alliance Balanced Shares A (CABNX) 1932 9.16
Alliance Growth & Income A (CABDX) 1932 12.14
American Funds American Balanced A (ABALX) 1933 11.14
American Funds Fundamental A (ANCFX) 1933 12.28
American Funds Inv Company of America A (AIVSX) 1934 12.4
Benchmark: Vanguard 500 Index (VFINX)   12.1
CDC Nvest Growth and Inc A (NEFOX) 1931 9.6
Century Shares (CENSX) 1928 12.39
CGM Mutual (LOMMX) 1929 8.85
Dodge & Cox Balanced (DODBX) 1931 12.25
Eaton Vance Balanced A (EVIFX) 1932 8.55
Eaton Vance Growth & Inc A (EHSTX) 1931 11.79
Elfun Trusts (ELFNX) 1935 13.48
Evergreen Balanced B (EKBBX) 1936 8.27
Evergreen Blue Chip B (EKNBX) 1935 8.67
Evergreen Large Co Growth B (EKJBX) 1935 9.31
Evergreen Small Co Growth B (EKABX) 1936 8.47
Federated Stock & Bond A (FSTBX) 1934 8.58
Fidelity (FFIDX) 1930 11.83
Franklin Growth & Income A (FKREX) 1933 9.64
Gartmore Total Return D (MUIFX) 1933 11.3
Hancock Sovereign Investor A (SOVIX) 1936 10.04
ING Corporate Leaders (LEXCX) 1935 11.41
INVESCO Growth Inv (FLRFX) 1935 5.38
Lord Abbett Affiliated A (LAFFX) 1934 11.89
MFS Massachusetts Inv A (MITTX) 1924 11.34
MFS Massachusetts Inv Growth A (MIGFX) 1935 12.47
Pioneer A (PIODX) 1928 11.67
Putnam Investors A (PINVX) 1925 10.11
Safeco Equity (SAFQX) 1932 11.42
Selected American (SLASX) 1933 12.91
Seligman Common Stock A (SCSFX) 1929 7.68
Seligman Growth A (SGRFX) 1937 8.69
Sentinel Common Stock A (SENCX) 1934 10.34
State St Research Investment S (STSTX) 1924 10.14
Vanguard Wellington (VWELX) 1929 11.17

It's interesting to note that Dodge & Cox Balanced, a mix of stocks and bonds, slightly outperformed the all-stock Vanguard 500 Index over the past 15 years, the longest period for which we have data.....On the other hand, several all-stock funds -- CGM Mutual, Evergreen Blue Chip, Evergreen Large Company Growth, Invesco Growth, Seligman Common Stock, and Seligman Growth A -- trailed the Vanguard 500 Index by 300 to 400 basis points (3.0% to 4.0%).....Overall, on the upside, only eight of our thirty-five geezer funds were able to outperform the Vanguard 500 Index, and even the best fund in the group, the Elfun Trusts, beat the 500 Index by only 138 basis points (1.38%).....Perhaps if we had performance data from inception, one of these old-timer funds would be a true standout, but we doubt it.....A list like this confirms one of the immutable facts of mutual fund investing: Whether your fund was born in 1924 or 1994, it's extremely tough to beat an unmanaged index over a long period of time.


Briefly noted:


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FundAlarm © Roy Weitz, 2002